– Donald Trump is experiencing record-high polling numbers, while accusations of fraudulent polling are casting doubt on Kamala Harris’s supposed surge in popularity.
– Despite media claims, polling aggregates reveal that Trump is at his highest support level ever, contradicting reports of Harris leading in key swing states.
– The legacy media’s portrayal of Kamala Harris as surging is widely regarded as fraudulent, with actual polling data showing Trump’s genuine surge in support
In a stunning turn of events, Donald Trump is experiencing record-high polling numbers, while Vice President Kamala Harris is embroiled in accusations of fraudulent polling. This article explores the latest developments in the political landscape, the misleading media narrative, and the actual polling data.
The controversy began with a recent poll from Morning Consult, which many critics now derisively refer to as “Morning Compost.” This poll claimed that Kamala Harris was leading in all the swing states, including an improbable 11-point lead in Michigan. However, Rich Baris, a highly respected polling analyst, has called out these numbers as patently absurd and contradictory. According to Baris, the same poll shows Harris leading by only 1 point nationally, which doesn’t align with the large lead in Michigan.
Adding to the skepticism, the Morning Consult poll also indicates that Trump is polling better in traditionally blue states like Oregon, California, and New Hampshire than he did in 2020. This inconsistency highlights what is known as “response bias,” where a candidate’s supporters are more likely to respond to pollsters after receiving good news, skewing the results temporarily. Historical examples, such as Mitt Romney’s temporary surge after his first debate with Obama, illustrate this phenomenon.
The Real Clear Politics (RCP) polling aggregate currently shows Trump at his all-time highest support level, with 48.1 percent, just shy of a majority. This level of support is unprecedented for Trump, surpassing his previous polling numbers in both 2016 and 2020.
The mainstream media, which previously downplayed Joe Biden’s cognitive fitness, is now attempting to present Kamala Harris as the most popular political figure, despite her being the most unpopular vice president in recent history. The Washington Post, which recently called for Harris to step down for the good of the country, is now promoting her as a viable candidate. This sudden shift in narrative is viewed with suspicion by many.
David Jillio, a political analyst, points out that Trump’s current polling position is stronger than ever before, indicating his potential to win the presidency in the upcoming election. Historical comparisons show that Trump’s polling numbers today would have been cause for celebration in 2016 and 2020. Despite the media’s narrative, the polling data paints a different picture.
Elon Musk has also entered the fray, criticizing Kamala Harris and calling for a change in leadership. His comments have sparked a backlash from Harris supporters and added fuel to the ongoing debate about the accuracy of the polls and media bias.
The legacy media’s portrayal of Kamala Harris as surging in popularity is widely regarded as fraudulent. Instead, the actual polling data suggests that it is Trump who is experiencing a genuine surge in support. As the 2024 election approaches, the need for accurate and unbiased polling becomes increasingly crucial.
In conclusion, while the mainstream media pushes a narrative of Kamala Harris’s rise, the real story is Donald Trump’s unprecedented polling surge. The discrepancy between media reports and actual polling data highlights the importance of looking at comprehensive polling aggregates to understand the true state of the race. As the election draws nearer, it is clear that Trump is in a stronger position than ever to reclaim the presidency.
