In a shocking turn of events, even ultra-liberal commentators are having a meltdown over the political landscape in key swing states, notably Nevada, which has not seen a Republican presidential candidate triumph in two decades. With just a week until the elections, early voting data from Nevada and Arizona indicates a monumental shift that will spell disaster for Democrats.
"I've never seen what's happening now."@11th Hour Nevada expert @RalstonReports explains the unprecedented edge the GOP is currently holding in the key battleground state. pic.twitter.com/Ep7qj5xTaa
— 11th Hour (@11thHour) October 25, 2024
– Polling shows Republicans gaining unprecedented early voting leads in Nevada and Arizona.
– Kamala Harris is seeing her electoral odds plummet as Trump gains momentum among key voter demographics
– The early voting patterns indicate a significant advantage for Republicans, potentially leading to a Republican victory.
Recent betting trends are tracked via platforms like Polymarket and Predict It. Predict It reveals Kamala Harris’s odds have sunk below 40 percent for the first time, indicating a clear momentum swing toward Donald Trump. As early voting in both states unfolds, Republican enthusiasm outpaces Democratic efforts, undermining the historical pattern that traditionally saw Democrats dominating early ballots.
The implosion continues.
This is what the media will tell you is a "close race." pic.twitter.com/nlYexnJv7f
— Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports (@Mark_R_Mitchell) October 29, 2024
Nevada and Arizona are pivotal in understanding these shifts because these states see upwards of 80 to 90 percent of their populations voting early compared to states like Pennsylvania, where around 70 percent of voters typically wait until Election Day. The early data suggests that Republicans are effectively overturning the Democrats’ historical advantage; instead of a blue firewall that Democrats have relied upon for decades, a burgeoning red firewall is emerging.
The early voting statistics from Nevada are astounding: Republicans have established a lead of approximately 40,000 votes. This starkly contrasts with 2020, when Democrats held a similar lead. This inversion in voting patterns indicates a deeper trend, characterized by quantity and the quality of voters participating. Notably, many of the early Republican votes come from low-to-no propensity voters, who may have only voted once or twice in the last four elections. This influx suggests that Republicans are not cannibalizing their base; instead, they are mobilizing new voters, while Democrats are expending their support prematurely.
The early voting numbers in Arizona are even more dramatic, with Republicans outpacing Democrats by over 100,000 votes.
🚨 BREAKING: Arizona Republicans expand early voting lead to over 100,000 voters
🔴 REP: 589,382 (+103,598)
🔵 DEM: 485,784
🟡 OTH: 326,231That's a lead of *7.4 points* statewide.
Data: @MichaelPruser
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
The implications of these statistics cannot be overstated: they forecast a potential Republican margin of victory not just in Arizona but also positively reflect the prospect of a win in Nevada. Furthermore, Trump’s ability to attract Latino voters is raising concerns for the Democrats in traditionally blue states like New Mexico, where Trump is now polling closely within the margin of error.
Rich Baris’s polling data bolsters these claims, showing an overwhelming Republican advantage among low-prop voters, further exacerbating the Democrats’ vulnerability. While Democrats see their high-prop voters slipping away, Republicans still have considerable numbers left to mobilize for Election Day. This critical factor—coupled with the troubling trend for Democrats, where independents, by and large, are leaning toward Trump—signals a troubling landscape for Kamala Harris.
The stakes are as high as they have ever been. With Republicans poised for one of the most favorable electorates in recent history, it is imperative to maintain momentum and encourage participation. The narrative of a red wave is gaining traction, and as the data continues to roll in, the urgency for action among Republican supporters becomes even more evident. There is no room for complacency; the time to unite and ensure a decisive victory is now. The patriots in Arizona and Nevada are already setting historic turnout records—it’s time to feed off that energy and aim for an emphatic blowout in the upcoming elections.
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