Kamala Harris answered the question “what are one or two specific things you would do to bring prices down?” We were subsequently treated to a word salad surrounding folks who were very proud of their lawn. A brand new post-debate poll from 2020’s most accurate pollster shows that Kamala is not in great shape for 2024!
The question: How are you going to bring down inflation?
Kamala: CHAPTER ONE: I AM BORN https://t.co/gsA1mCB43E
— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) September 16, 2024
– Atlas Intel’s first post-debate poll shows Trump leading Kamala Harris by three points nationally and by four points with the full lineup of candidates.
– Trump has a significant lead on key issues, including immigration (+17), the war in the Middle East (+16), and the economy (+14).
– Trump is polling at 2016 levels in Arizona, and North Carolina’s vote-by-mail requests have drastically dropped, with more Republicans now requesting ballots compared to Democrats.
The first post-debate poll has dropped from the most accurate polling outlet of the 2020 election. Rich Barris noted that they were the only polling outlet that more accurately polled the 2020 election than he did, by 0.2%. Atlas Intel had Biden winning by 4.7% of the vote and he actually won by 4.5. Atlas Intel has just dropped their first post-debate poll, taken on Wednesday and Thursday after the debate. Trump has a national lead of three points over Harris head-to-head, and with the full lineup his lead grows to four points.
This is not hard to understand as Trump leads Harris on every major issue of concern among voters. He’s beating her +17 on immigration, +16 on the war in the Middle East, +14 on the economy, +14 on inflation, +14 on the national debt, and +12 on Ukraine. Here’s what the CEO of Intel Atlas, Andrei Roman, had to say regarding Trump’s chances of victory in November:
Atlas Intel pollster says Trump has a 70% chance of winning. pic.twitter.com/SwkFEA1TuH
— David D. Chapman (@davidchapman141) September 16, 2024
They give Trump a 70% chance of winning this election, given the data analysis that they have accumulated. Atlas Intel has the best record of any polling outlet in terms of their predictive accuracy. The latest NAACP poll on black men and who they’re planning on voting for sheds some very interesting light on why Kamala is crashing. The poll found that 26% of black men under the age of 50 are voting Trump and 49% are voting Harris
The legacy media is doing everything it can to convince us that the vast majority of voters have abandoned Trump and are enthusiastically embracing Kamala. As Mark Mitchell at the Rasmussen reports points out, if the news media would cook a debate, would they not cook the polls also? Interestingly, Rasmussen has Trump winning the independent vote by double digits. Their latest sampling shows Trump beating Harris 51 to 39 among independents.
The latest data coming out of the key swing state of Pennsylvania from Scott Pressler shows that in just a week, Republican registration efforts have slashed the Democrat advantage from nearly 348,000 registered voters to now just 343,000. Just a few years ago Democrats had a 1,000,000 voter registration advantage over Pennsylvania Republicans, which has now been slashed by nearly 70%. In just the last week, Democrats gained 9000 voter registrations whereas the Republicans gained nearly 14,000. Scott said his team is registering more voters than Taylor Swift!
‼️EARTH-SHATTERING NEWS‼️
The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that improperly mail-in ballots WON’T be counted.
Ballots w/ missing or incorrect dates won’t be counted.
This is a monumental win for election integrity.
Thank you to the RNC & Pennsylvania Republican Party.
🦫
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) September 13, 2024
The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that improperly mailed ballots will not be counted. Ballots with missing or incorrect dates will not be counted. Mike Whatley, chairman of the RNC, took a much deserved victory lap when he tweeted out that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court has rejected a Democrat attempt to count undated ballots. This would have allowed the counting of ballots to go on indefinitely past November 5th.
To make matters even worse for the Democrats, it’s now being widely reported that Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, will be on the ballot in Georgia. Jill Stein infamously cost Hillary 10s of thousands of votes in the key swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and now it looks like she’s going to do the same with Democrats in the key swing state of Georgia! Trump should win Georgia relatively handily, especially given the election integrity measures that have been successfully implemented in Georgia.
On this date in the ARIZONA RCP Aggregate
2016
🟥 Trump +1.62020
🟦 Biden +4.72024
🟥 Trump +1.3In Arizona, Trump is polling as well as he was in 2016 when he won the state by 3.5 pts.
Harris, on the other hand, is running 6 pts behind Biden 2020.
— David D. Chapman (@davidchapman141) September 16, 2024
In Arizona, Trump is polling at 2016 levels. He is right around where he was in September of 2016, when he went on to win the state by nearly four points. Kamala Harris is running six points behind where Biden was at this time in the 2020 election. In North Carolina, the early ballot requests have imploded since 2020. By this time in 2020, there were over a million ballot requests and 50% were for Democrats and just shy of 18% were Republican. Today, the requested vote by mail has imploded to just 172,000. The 50% Democrat request has dropped to 38%, and the Republican requests have gone up to 23%.
Trump won North Carolina back in 2020, even with that huge number, along with the massive discrepancy between Democrat and Republican vote by mail percentages. Now, in 2024, the overall request numbers are down dramatically, and there are less Democrats, and more Republicans. Trump is poised to crush in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Georgia. As the most accurate polling outlet of 2020 has concluded, he’s even poised to crush the national vote as well!
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