Kamala Harris’ Desperate Gimmick Backfires, Dividing Democrats as Polls Continue to Slide

Kamala just blew up her campaign with a desperate gimmick that is completely backfiring even among Democrats. It’s no wonder that her polls are imploding as Trump is surging.

– Mark Mitchell suggests signs of Harris campaign telegraphing a loss as her campaign struggles.

– Kamala Harris proposes ending the filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade, drawing backlash from Democrats like Joe Manchin and Kirsten Sinema.

– Early voting trends in Virginia indicate a surge in turnout in red counties, with significant support from low-propensity voters favoring Trump.

Mark Mitchell of the Rasmussen Reports, which has a daily tracking poll, tweeted that he talked to someone smart today and they said it was time to start looking for ways the Harris campaign is telegraphing their impending loss.

Kamala’s campaign has now jumped the shark. She has announced that she will support and work to eliminate the senate filibuster so she can shove abortion down every single state’s throats. This desperate announcement drew immediate condemnation from West Virginia Democrat senator Joe Manchin. Manchin, who’s deeply committed to the filibuster, confirmed yesterday that he would no longer be backing Kamala’s candidacy because of this announcement and Arizona senator Kirsten Sinema lambasted the gimmick as well, calling it ‘absolutely terrible.’

This promise to destroy the filibuster in the Senate in order to codify Roe V. Wade shows complete desperation. Kamala is not appealing to independents, this makes it look like she is giving up on independents, especially considering that every single poll out there shows she’s losing them. She is doubling down on her own base, and is doing whatever she possibly can to try to fire up her base. This is not a good sign for her. If we are in the home stretch and she needs to fire up her base, that’s not a good sign. The latest Quinnipiac poll has just come out, and it shows Trump beating Harris 48 to 47. The last week of September with 40 days to go, Trump is beating Harris in a poll that had Biden up by 11 this time in 2020.

Gallup’s party identification tracking shows that in 2008, the Democrats had a + 8 party identification advantage. Obama went on to win the popular vote by +7.2. In 2012, there was a + 4 Democrat party identification and Obama went on to win the popular vote by +3.9. In 2016, the Democrats had a +3 party identification advantage, and Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1. In 2020 the Democrats had a + 5 party identification advantage, Biden went on to win the popular vote by 4.5. Gallop’s party identification tracker for 2024 shows that Republicans are +3.

Rich Barris pointed out that Gallop gauges with predictive value all favor the republican candidate in 2024. If Virginia’s early voting is any indicator, we are already seeing this unfold in real time. Over the last week the early voting trends coming out of Virginia are absolutely astonishing. Turnout in the deep red districts and counties in Virginia are through the roof. Buchanan is seeing a + 200% turnout from 2020, Craig is seeing a + 230% turnout from 2020, Scott is seeing a + 192% turnout, and Smith is seeing a near plus 500% turnout from 2020. These are all counties that voted for Trump 60-70%.

20% of these voters are first time voters. These are what are called low propensity or no propensity voters, which are people who have voted very rarely or not at all. According to Pew, 80% of low to no propensity voters are non-college grad voters, who overwhelmingly support Trump. Things can change, as we are early in this process, but right now, things look absolutely amazing for the Trump team, all as Kamala signals more and more desperation!

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